Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 16

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Colo-Colo		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4.33	5.25
	1.55	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.57	4.6	5.7
	1.5	4.66	5.46	Watch
	1.54	4.3	5.6
	1.6	4.14	5.71	Watch
	1.52	4.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.31 ↓ (4.45)	5.35 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
60.8%

Draw
21.7%

Deportes Limache
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Colo Colo - Deportes Limache Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 21. Wiemberg E. 28. Rojas J. 6. Alarcon T. 8. Madrid A. 26. Ulloa D. 5. Mendez V. 24. Hernandez L. 19. Romero M.	1. Borquez M. (G) 33. Escobar D. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 4. Flores M. 15. Alvarez V. 25. Llanten M. 27. Galletto T. 16. Jean David 10. Valencia Rossel L. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
22. Aquino C. 34. Catalan R. 30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 7. Marchant F. 3. Olguin A. 50. Raipan F. 31. Torres B. 12. Villanueva E. (G)	5. Alfonzo A. 26. Arturia M. 32. Carcamo V. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Martinez H. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F. 11. Rojas J. 9. Sosa G.
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Madrid A. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),
64', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
64', Alvarez V. ↓, Carcamo V. ↑,
64', Galletto T. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
70', Madrid A. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
73', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Castro D. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Hernandez L. ↓, Olguin A. ↑,
77', Escobar D. 🟨,
77', Ortiz F. 🟨,
79', Carcamo V. 🟨,
83', Escobar D. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
84', Romero M. ↓, Raipan F. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Raipan F. ⚽,
89', Llanten M. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
90', Castro D. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9).

Colo-Colo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Limache has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Limache may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colo-Colo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

Colo Colo: 81.49% Limache: 0.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	17	3	3	48:22	26	54
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33

Last Results with these Odds

Colo-Colo - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Millonarios - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Recoleta	2:2 ✺
02.07.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	4:1 ✺
29.06.26	Unión Española - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
25.06.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Deportes Limache - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Deportes Limache - Deportes Iquique	1:4 ✺
23.06.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
31.01.26	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	3:1
27.10.25	Colo-Colo - Deportes Limache	2:2
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	4:1
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	1:0
Chilean Cup
30.01.25	Colo-Colo - Deportes Limache	2:2

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