Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Colonia Moscardó		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	2.7	3.1	2.44
	2.5	3.21	2.77
	2.76	3.18	2.43
	2.59	3.21	2.69
	2.8	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.38)	3.14 ↑ (3.14)	2.48 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
33.7%

Draw
29.2%

Melilla
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colonia Moscardó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colonia Moscardó - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Morillo V. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Telis M. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Hyjek J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 2, Temenuzhkov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 3, Morillo V. ⚽,
58', 3 - 3, Temenuzhkov K. ⚽,
68', 3 - 4, Bassele M. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 4, Telis M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Moscardó is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moscardó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moscardó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.04.25	Atlético Paso - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Tenerife B - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Colonia Moscardó - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Getafe B - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLTL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.04.25	Melilla - Móstoles URJC	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Getafe B - Melilla	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Melilla - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Coria - Melilla	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Melilla - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1

Colonia Moscardó - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide