Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2	2.8	3.75
	2.01	2.9	3.85
	2.05	2.96	3.82	Watch
	2.06	2.94	3.89
	2.01	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.15)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.78 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
44.9%

Draw
31%

Melilla
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Coria - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Maffeo V. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Bassele M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Bravo C. ⚽,
53', 2 - 2, Manchon Samuel ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Coria in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Melilla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Coria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Atlético Paso - Coria	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Coria - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Coria	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Coria - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Navalcarnero - Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWWWW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Melilla - Illescas	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Conquense - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Melilla - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	Melilla - Coria	1:2
08.04.23	Melilla - Coria	2:1
27.11.22	Coria - Melilla	1:1

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