Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Elche Ilicitano		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.55
				Watch
	2.72	2.92	2.52
	2.71	2.86	2.67	Watch
	2.73	2.84	2.55
	3.1	2.71	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.71)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)	2.56 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
32.7%

Draw
31.9%

Orihuela
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

33.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Solano R. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Munoz I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 3, Lara J. A. ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, Monterde J. ⚽,
70', 1 - 5, Sanchez A. ⚽,
75', 2 - 5, Fernandez G. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilicitano won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ilicitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ilicitano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilicitano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Orihuela - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Las Palmas B	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLTW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Orihuela - Levante	3:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Orihuela - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Deportivo Toledo - Orihuela	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Navalcarnero - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.08.23	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
29.01.23	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	0:0
25.09.22	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	1:2
09.02.22	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	1:1
26.09.21	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:0
17.02.19	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	2:0
30.09.18	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	1:2

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