Match Info
Paulista A4 - Round 12Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Nacional SP |
|
Colorado Caieiras |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.95 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.98 |
2.58 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.42 |
2.65 |
|
 |
2.88 |
3.42 |
2.2 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.13 |
2.71 |
|
 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.7) |
3.13 ↑
(2.9) |
2.54 ↑
(2.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nacional SP
35.5% | Draw
28.9% | Colorado Caieiras
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Colorado Caieiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional SP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)Nacional SP - Colorado Caieiras Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 57', 🟥,
- 57', 🟥,
- 80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista B and 13).Nacional SP is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Colorado Caieiras's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
