Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Referee: Ford T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Colorado Rapids		New York Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.3
	2	4	3.5
	2.02	3.88	3.61
	1.97	3.82	3.57	Watch
	2	3.75	3.3
	1.99	3.88	3.44	Watch
	2	3.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.06)	3.82 ↑ (3.61)	3.47 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Rapids
47.8%

Draw
24.9%

New York Red Bulls
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	13.3%	33.3%

Colorado Rapids - New York Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Steffen Z. (G) 2. Rosenberry K. 6. Abubakar L. 5. Maxso A. 3. Vines S. 20. Ronan C. 18. Larraz O. 11. Fernandez O. 23. Bassett C. 91. Cabral K. 9. Rafael Navarro	31. Carlos Coronel (G) 4. Reyes A. 15. Nealis S. 3. Eile N. 12. Nealis D. 48. Donkor R. 75. Edelman D. 6. Duncan K. 17. Harper C. 9. Morgan L. 13. Vanzeir D.
Substitutes
22. Anderson S. 31. Beaudry A. (G) 34. Edwards M. 24. Frederick W. 14. Harris C. 7. Lewis J. 21. Loffelsend J. 27. Stewart-Baynes K. 77. Yapi D.	7. Burke C. 19. Carmona W. 11. Elias Manoel 91. Estrela B. 2. Gjengaar D. 16. Hall J. 18. Meara R. (G) 23. O'Connor A. 42. Valencia O.
Coaches
Armas C.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Morgan L. ⚽, Vanzeir D. (A), Harper C. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Harper C. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Nealis S. (Own goal),
70', Edelman D. 🟨,
73', Nealis S. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
75', Fernandez O. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
80', Eile N. 🟨,
83', Morgan L. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
83', Vanzeir D. ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
83', Larraz O. ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
84', Cabral K. ↓, Stewart-Baynes K. ↑,
90+1', Lewis J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colorado won 3.

Colorado is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

NY Red Bulls could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Colorado will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Colorado: Chacon D. (Injury)

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Injury) Ngoma S. (Injury) Stroud P. (Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Forsberg E. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Colorado won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Colorado won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Rapids
MLS
07.07.24	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	4:1 ✺
04.07.24	Colorado Rapids - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Colorado Rapids - CF Montréal	4:1 ✺
19.06.24	St. Louis City - Colorado Rapids	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW
- New York Red Bulls
MLS
06.07.24	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	New York Red Bulls - DC United	2:2 ✺
22.06.24	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
19.06.24	CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.08.22	New York Red Bulls - Colorado Rapids	4:5
31.08.19	New York Red Bulls - Colorado Rapids	0:2
12.05.18	Colorado Rapids - New York Red Bulls	1:2
11.03.17	New York Red Bulls - Colorado Rapids	1:0
16.04.16	Colorado Rapids - New York Red Bulls	2:1
29.04.15	New York Red Bulls - Colorado Rapids	1:1
15.03.14	New York Red Bulls - Colorado Rapids	1:1

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