Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	New York Red Bulls		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.5
	1.72	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.8	5.05
	1.72	3.57	5.29	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.8
	1.77	3.49	5.6	Watch
	1.72	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.62 ↓ (4.03)	5.37 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
55.9%

Draw
26.4%

Toronto FC
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	7.4%	7.4%

New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: New York Red Bulls will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcucci A. (G) 12. Nealis D. 15. Nealis S. 3. Eile N. 42. Hack A. 8. Stroud P. 75. Edelman D. 19. Carmona W. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 44. Edwards R. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M.	1. Johnson S. (G) 2. Wingo H. 15. Gomis N. 12. Monlouis Z. 5. Long K. 28. Petretta R. 8. Longstaff M. 14. Coello A. 24. Insigne L. 71. Cimermancic M. 10. Bernardeschi F.
Substitutes
9. Bogacz W. 20. Carballo F. 55. Causey A. (G) 48. Donkor R. 16. Hall J. 88. Jarvis A. 77. Mehmeti A. 81. Ngoma S. 26. Parker T.	7. Corbeanu T. 11. Etienne D. 19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 29. Kerr D. 17. Rosted S. 76. Stefanovic L. 74. Sullivan M. 6. Thompson K.
Coaches
Schwarz S.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Longstaff M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Forsberg E. (Pen),
45+4', Petretta R. 🟨,
45+4', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wingo H. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
46', Monlouis Z. ↓, Rosted S. ↑,
56', Cimermancic M. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
56', Petretta R. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
65', Stroud P. ↓, Carballo F. ↑,
65', Carmona W. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Kerr D. ⚽, Etienne D. (A), Insigne L. (A2)
72', Gomis N. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
73', Etienne D. 🟨,
73', Ngoma S. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Forsberg E. ⚽, Carballo F. (A), Choupo-Moting E. M. (A2)
88', Ngoma S. ↓, Donkor R. ↑,
90+1', Forsberg E. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
90+2', Carballo F. 🟨,
90+3', Carballo F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 3.

Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury) Rojas A. (International duty) Sofo M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (Back Injury) Donkor R. (Leg Injury) Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Mehmeti A. (Thigh Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Nealis D. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Injury) Insigne L. (Coach's decision) Long K. (Injury) Rosted S. (Lower-Body Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:19 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:5 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
15.03.25	New York Red Bulls - Orlando City	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.01.25	New York Red Bulls - St. Louis City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL
- Toronto FC
MLS
15.03.25	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Orlando City - Toronto FC	4:2 ✺
22.02.25	DC United - Toronto FC	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Toronto FC - Inter Miami	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.10.24	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:4
CONCACAF League Cup
27.07.24	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	0:1 penalties
MLS
22.06.24	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	3:0
07.10.23	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	3:0
17.05.23	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	0:0
18.06.22	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	2:0
05.03.22	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:4

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