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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 50.6%
Draw 25.3%
DC United 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
24.1%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
23.2%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
New York Red Bulls - DC United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - DC United (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 12. Nealis D. 6. Voloder R. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 79. Mosquera R. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 22. Herrera A. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 25. Hopkins J. 9. Baribo T.
Substitutes
39. Benedetti N. 4. Berggren G. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 7. Cowell C. 23. Masanka Bungi J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 20. Mina J. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M.
12. Antley C. 26. Bono A. (G) 30. Clark C. 24. Farr J. (G) 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 17. Murrell J. 8. Stroud J. 48. Turner G.
Coaches
Bradley M.
Weiler R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Donkor R. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Baribo T. ⚽, Hopkins J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Dos Santos M. ↓, Masanka Bungi J. ↑,
50', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
52', 3 - 1, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
54', 3 - 2, Hopkins J. ⚽, Peglow (A),
59', 3 - 3, Baribo T. ⚽, Peglow (A),
65', Mosquera R. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
65', Mehmeti A. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
71', 4 - 3, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
77', Herrera A. ↓, Clark C. ↑,
80', 4 - 4, Baribo T. ⚽,
80', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
81', Hopkins J. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
81', Servania B. ↓, Markovic N. ↑,
86', Peltola M. 🟨,
90', Clark C. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 3.
Recent performances by NY Red Bulls have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
DC United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in DC United: Karamoko H.
(Illness)
Nealis S.
(Injury)
Segal G.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
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Horvath E. (G) 
Marshall-Rutty J. 
Voloder R. 
Donkor R. 
Forsberg E. (C) 
Mosquera R. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Hefti S. 
Rowles K. 
Kurokawa K. 
Herrera A. 
Peltola M. 
Peglow 
Baribo T. 
Benedetti N. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Masanka Bungi J. 
Mina J. 
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