Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		New York City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.4	1.93	Watch
	3.3	3.45	2.05
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.38	3.53	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.6	1.91
	3.23	3.86	2.03
	3.3	3.45	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.19)	3.51 ↑ (3.31)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
27.8%

Draw
26.4%

New York City
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 28. Osumanu I. 5. Suber S. 23. Vacter G. 14. Mertz R. 6. Broughton M. 42. Walti J. 13. Biasi L. 2. Griffin D. 18. Garcia J. 10. Jacquesson B. (C)	30. Romero T. (G) 24. O'Neill A. 19. Tanasijevic S. 80. Haak J. (C) 2. Cavallo N. 5. Risa B. 32. Shore J. 17. Wolf H. 26. Ojeda A. 8. Perea A. 9. Bakrar M.
Substitutes
3. Barnes P. 20. Bouregy J. 17. Larsen B. 31. Randolph J. (G) 15. Sample B. 9. Williams A. 16. Ydrach R.	38. Baiera A. 29. Carrizo M. 11. Fernandez J. 99. Garfield Reid S. 71. Molinari P. 23. Murray M. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G)
Coaches
Lilley B.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jacquesson B. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,
47', Risa B. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
77', Garcia J. ↓, Sample B. ↑,
77', Larsen B. ↓, Ydrach R. ↑,
78', Tanasijevic S. 🟥,
81', Perea A. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
89', Broughton M. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
89', Osumanu I. ↓, Barnes P. ↑,
90+5', Cavallo N. ↓, Baiera A. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 0, Ydrach R. ⚽, Mertz R. (A),

Preview

Pittsburgh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

NY City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games.

NY City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
03.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Columbus Crew 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	Charleston Battery - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- New York City FC
MLS
04.05.25	New York City - Cincinnati	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Toronto FC - New York City	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	New England Revolution - New York City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	New York City - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	New York City - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

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