Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.06	3.25	3.5
	2.15	3.19	3.49
	2.13	3.2	3.53	Watch
	2.09	3.2	3.43	Watch
	2.11	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	3.17 ↓ (3.38)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
44%

Draw
29.1%

North Carolina
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 28. Osumanu I. 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. 3. Barnes P. 42. Walti J. 15. Sample B. 8. Etou B. (C) 9. Williams A. 4. O’Toole A. 2. Griffin D.	1. McGuire J. (G) 14. Rafa Mentzingen 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 55. Hodge T. 10. Servania J. 8. Pedro Becker 44. Sommersall R. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. 7. Conway E.
Substitutes
20. Bouregy J. 6. Broughton M. 18. Garcia J. 10. Jacquesson B. 17. Larsen B. 70. Linzoain P. 31. Randolph J. (G) 99. Vacter G.	19. Al Qaq A. 9. Anderson O. 11. Burner P. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. 26. Luckhurst A. 17. Martin C. 24. Mulqueen T. (G)
Coaches
Lilley B.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, Pedro Becker ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
75', O’Toole A. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
75', Sample B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
76', Williams A. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,
76', Sundstrom F. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
85', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Burner P. ↑,
90', Ydrach R. 🟨,
90+1', Conway E. ↓, Luckhurst A. ↑,
90+2', Perez L. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.

Pittsburgh has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Carolina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Pittsburgh could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Cup
26.04.25	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Columbus Crew 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	Charleston Battery - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- North Carolina FC
USL Cup
25.04.25	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Miami - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	1:3 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	New Mexico United - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
08.03.25	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1
22.06.24	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0
18.05.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	1:1
17.08.19	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	5:0
20.07.19	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	1:0
28.07.18	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1
04.07.18	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	2:0

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