Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Weidner Field (Colorado Springs, CO)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN+, KDKA+, SportsEngine Play


	Colorado Springs Switchbacks		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.60	3.70
	1.65	3.70	4.25
	1.81	3.86	4.45
	1.72	4	4.19	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4.40
	1.83	3.77	3.87	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.75 ↓ (3.93)	4.12 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
52.9%

Draw
24.7%

Phoenix Rising
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

23.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Colorado Springs will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (C) 97. Burner P. 24. Maples T. 23. Metusala G. 18. Rocha A. 37. Creek B. 8. Daroma F. 10. Perez A. 7. Fjeldberg J. 80. Williams D. 90. Bennett K.	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 17. JP Scearce 87. Flores D. 13. Moursou J. 7. Sacko I. 8. Gomez D. 37. Rivera G. 91. Ramirez E. 11. Studenhofft G.
Substitutes
12. Foster I. 20. Hanya Y. 5. Mahoney M. 17. Masereka S. 22. Shutler C. (G) 27. Tejada J. 6. Williams S.	28. Arase K. 23. Badji D. 80. Balanzar A. 5. Czichos R. 68. Irwin J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 44. Ping J.
Coaches
McCann A.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Studenhofft G. ⚽, Flores D. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Daroma F. (A),
42', Ramirez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ramirez E. ↓, Arase K. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Metusala G. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
66', Fjeldberg J. ↓, Hanya Y. ↑,
67', Pelayo A. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
73', Rivera G. 🟨,
76', Daroma F. ↓, Tejada J. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Rocha A. (A),
83', Perez A. ↓, Foster I. ↑,
83', Williams D. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
83', Rivera G. ↓, Czichos R. ↑,
83', Studenhofft G. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
90', Gomez D. ↓, Irwin J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado Springs won 2.

Recent performances by Colorado Springs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Phoenix Rising's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colorado Springs is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Colorado Springs won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado Springs won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
24.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Tulsa - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
20.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	3:4 ✺
13.06.26	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
25.04.26	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1
USL Championship
23.08.25	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	4:1
03.05.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	1:1
03.08.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	2:0
13.04.24	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0
14.10.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	2:0
22.07.23	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1

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