Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 35

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday ⏱️ In 10h 18m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano) 🌤️ ...


	Defensores de Belgrano		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	4.75
	1.93	2.90	4.33
	1.87	3.00	4.20	Watch
	2.01	3.07	4.65
	1.94	3.04	4.48	Watch
	1.95	3.00	4.35
	1.85	2.95	4.43
	1.91	2.95	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.41)	2.97 ↑ (2.82)	4.44 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
48.2%

Draw
31.1%

San Miguel
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

33.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

33%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensores de Belgrano's performance.

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Defensores has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

San Miguel has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

San Miguel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Defensores for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Defensores has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Defensores against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.26	San Telmo - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Acassuso	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTLW
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.10.26	San Miguel - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Almirante Brown - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	San Miguel - Mitre	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Miguel	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	San Miguel - All Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	San Miguel - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
Argentinian Primera B
06.04.18	San Miguel - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
18.11.17	Defensores de Belgrano - San Miguel	3:0

Defensores de Belgrano - San Miguel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide