The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 22.2%
Draw 50%
Defensores de Belgrano 27.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.6%
32.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
33.2%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
San Telmo - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Diaz E. 3. Roncaglia F. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Romero P. 8. Motroni J. 11. Gonzalez M. 7. Porto J. 5. Britez E. 10. Batallini M. 9. Molina N.
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. Jerez Silva L. 6. Gigli L. 3. Perez I. 10. Landriel L. 8. Borsotti N. 5. De Tomasso J. 11. Moyano P. 9. Gonzalez E. 7. Aguirre E.
Substitutes
18. Baez F. 13. Britez L. 16. Dinocco R. 19. Gamarra R. 15. Iritier J. 17. Larthirigoyen I. 20. Nunez C. 14. Paredes G. 12. Rial J. (G)
20. Ardaiz J. 17. Ciccolini L. 13. Gamarra G. 16. Gutierrez I. 15. Magallanes D. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 18. Rodriguez L. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Tcherkaski F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez E. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
55', Moyano P. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
55', Jerez Silva L. ↓, Gamarra G. ↑,
63', Batallini M. ↓, Iritier J. ↑,
63', Romero P. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
70', Gonzalez M. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
70', Porto J. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
75', Molina N. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:15 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Telmo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.7:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
San Telmo - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.6%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.