The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 53.3%
Draw 28.7%
Acassuso 18.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.6%
26.6%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
25.8%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Defensores de Belgrano - Acassuso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 2. Gamarra G. 6. Jerez Silva L. 3. Perez I. 5. De Tomasso J. 11. Moyano P. 10. Benitez A. 8. Gutierrez I. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Gonzalez E.
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. Dubini K. (C) 5. Postigo J. 10. Hermoso A. 11. Rodriguez T. 7. Reynoso R. 9. Escalante D.
Substitutes
20. Ardaiz J. 15. Borsotti N. 16. Ciccolini L. 12. Daus L. (G) 17. Garcia D. 13. Gigli L. 18. Landriel L. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Tcherkaski F.
17. Acosta N. 13. Borges S. 19. Gomez Y. 12. Luque J. (G) 15. Petillo N. 16. Raccio J. 18. Sena F. 20. Senn F. 14. Serrano V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Escalante D. 🟨,
35', Dubini K. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Hermoso A. ⚽, Rodriguez T. (A),
39', Benitez A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Rodriguez T. ⚽, Ruiz A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Benitez A. ↓, Landriel L. ↑,
58', Reynoso R. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
63', Gutierrez I. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
63', Hermoso A. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Acosta N. ⚽, Rodriguez T. (A),
79', Magallanes D. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
79', Perez I. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
84', Escalante D. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
84', Dubini K. ↓, Petillo N. ↑,
84', Rodriguez T. ↓, Gomez Y. ↑,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 18th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Acassuso could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Defensores for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Defensores has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 0.8:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensores against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 0.8:0.3 per game).
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Medina A. (G) 
Ardaiz J. 
Sena F. 
