Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Colón Montevideo		Sud América

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.5	3.6
	1.94	3.12	4.09
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.94	3.14	4.05
	1.76	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	3.36 ↑ (3.26)	3.96 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
49.8%

Draw
27.1%

Sud América
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

28.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Colón Montevideo - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Pucheta J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Navarro A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Colón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sud América is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Colón is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.24	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Cerrito - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
17.04.24	Cooper - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Montevideo City Torque - Colón Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWL
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.24	Sud América - La Luz	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Sud América - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Sud América - Tacuarembó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL

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