Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Colón Montevideo		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.75	2.25
	2.98	2.78	2.4
	3.94	3.2	2.11
	2.83	2.86	2.68	Watch
	3.2	2.63	2.38
	3.03	2.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.83)	2.83 ↓ (2.86)	2.38 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
28.8%

Draw
32.5%

Plaza Colonia
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

32.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

32.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Plaza Colonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Colón won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30

Last Results with these Odds

Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.05.26	La Luz - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWTL
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1
05.10.24	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	0:2
23.06.24	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1
27.04.24	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1

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