Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 13

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Comercial SP		Inter de Bebedouro

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Comercial SP
26.5%

Draw
31%

Inter de Bebedouro
42.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29.5%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

29.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Inter de Bebedouro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter de Bebedouro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Inter de Bebedouro is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Inter de Bebedouro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	Jacareí - Comercial SP	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Comercial SP - VOCEM	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Araçatuba - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Comercial SP - Nacional SP	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	São Caetano - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWTWL
- Inter de Bebedouro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - Tanabi	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Barretos - Inter de Bebedouro	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - ECUS	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Penapolense - Inter de Bebedouro	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Inter de Bebedouro - Araçatuba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTW

Comercial SP - Inter de Bebedouro