Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday


	Comerciantes Belén		Juan Aurich

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.52	4.19	4.8
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.51	3.84	6.1
	1.46	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)	6.02 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
61.7%

Draw
23.2%

Juan Aurich
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Belén's performance.

Juan Aurich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (+2%)

Comerciantes Belén - Juan Aurich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasquez E. (G) 29. Correa R. 30. Cossio D. 19. Dominguez J. 26. Guevara R. 5. Hoyos H. (C) 31. Navarro J. 23. Reategui P. 3. Rios R. 12. Salas L. 25. Silva S.	1. Quiroz R. (G) 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 29. Guevara A. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. (C) 2. Pacheco O. 13. Reyes O. 14. Salas V. 21. Salcedo J.
Substitutes
28. Chipao R. 20. Correa G. 16. Romero L. 21. Sanchez K. (G) 7. Torres B. 13. Valdeblanquez J. 9. Zambrano J.	3. Butron F. 22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 30. Rodriguez C. 28. Silva M. 31. Stein A. (G)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Comerciantes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Juan Aurich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juan Aurich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Comerciantes is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
26.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
22.06.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Coopsol	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
28.06.23	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
18.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLTL

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