Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday


	Comerciantes Belén		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.25	3.25	2.85
	2.25	3.22	2.82
	2.29	3.13	2.91
	2.23	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.45)	3.19 ↑ (3.07)	2.86 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
40.1%

Draw
28.3%

Los Chankas
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasquez E. (G) 28. Chipao R. (C) 27. Cortes Armelo M. 19. Dominguez J. 26. Guevara R. 5. Hoyos H. 31. Navarro J. 23. Reategui P. 12. Salas L. 13. Valdeblanquez J. 9. Zambrano J.	1. Sotillo M. (C) 17. Casquete A. 15. Chavez A. 2. Gamarra C. 29. Labrin V. 11. Lopez C. 4. Mogollon E. 6. Palomino R. 25. Ramos L. 28. Rengifo D. 27. Temoche D.
Substitutes
20. Correa G. 29. Correa R. 8. Pinedo B. 34. Pinedo D. 16. Romero L. 21. Sanchez K. (G) 17. Vela P.	7. Benites A. 5. Diez P. 12. Izaguirre P. (G) 16. Martinez J. 14. Robles A. 18. Takeuchi O. 23. Vasquez J.

Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Comerciantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Comerciantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
11.10.23	Santos - Comerciantes Belén	Canceled ✺
02.10.23	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Belén	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 ?WWWL
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 2
27.09.23	Los Chankas - Pirata	11:0 ✺
20.09.23	Unión Huaral - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0 ✺
07.09.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
30.08.23	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0
22.06.23	Comerciantes Belén - Los Chankas	0:0

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