Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 3

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Max Augustín (Iquitos)


	Comerciantes Belén		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.52	3.6	6.2
	1.5	3.59	6.21
	1.55	3.66	6.75
	1.57	4.08	5.1
	1.52	3.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	3.77 ↓ (4.05)	5.99 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
60.4%

Draw
24.3%

Universidad San Martín
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Comerciantes Belén - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni San Martín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 6. Arevalo F. 28. Chipao R. 19. Dominguez J. 32. Flores A. 31. Navarro J. 5. Pinedo D. 12. Salas L. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 16. Valverde M. 18. Vasquez J.	1. Cavagna A. (G) 8. Carranza T. 6. Cortes S. 5. Flores B. 29. Ismodes D. (C) 15. Mendoza J. 3. Minaya D. 10. Sanchez J. 13. Vega C. 14. Yanez A. 9. Zeta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Dominguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Dominguez J. ⚽,
62', Sanchez J. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
62', Vega C. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
62', Yanez A. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
69', Arevalo F. ↓, Aburto B. ↑,
72', Carranza T. ↓, Alfageme A. ↑,
72', Zeta H. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
73', Dominguez J. 🟨,
78', Navarro J. ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
78', Vasquez J. ↓, Ruiz C. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Caicedo J. ⚽,
86', Flores B. 🟨,
86', Ruiz C. 🟨,
87', Salas L. ↓, Vela P. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Comerciantes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Comerciantes is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Comerciantes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Comerciantes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
13.04.25	Comerciantes Belén - Cantolao	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Belén	3:1 penalties ✺
09.10.24	Comerciantes Belén - Juan Pablo II College	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWL
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
12.04.25	Universidad San Martín - Unión Comercio	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cantolao - Universidad San Martín	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Universidad San Martín - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Carlos Stein - Universidad San Martín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
04.07.24	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:1
12.05.24	Comerciantes Belén - Universidad San Martín	1:0
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0

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