Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 2

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Max Augustin (Iquitos)


	Estudiantil CNI		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	2.85
	2.22	3.3	3
	2.31	3.3	3
	2.62	2.24	3.96	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.88
	2.14	3.32	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (4.57)	3.11 ↓ (3.63)	3.12 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantil CNI
40.7%

Draw
29.7%

Sporting Cristal
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.9%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantil CNI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantil CNI's performance.

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantil CNI than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantil CNI that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Estudiantil CNI - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Estudiantil CNI will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantil CNI: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
68', 🟥,
78', 1 - 2, Wisdom I. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Estudiantil CNI has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sporting Cristal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Estudiantil CNI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of away games.

Sporting Cristal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estudiantil CNI
Peruvian Liga 2
30.05.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Estudiantil CNI	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Santos	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Estudiantil CNI	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Estudiantil CNI - Sport Huancayo 2	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Estudiantil CNI	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWT
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
13.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWL

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