Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Como		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.9
	1.87	3.55	4.05	Watch
	2.01	3.2	3.65
	2.04	3.59	3.85
	1.88	3.4	3.9
	2.01	3.58	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	3.79 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
48.2%

Draw
27.1%

Crotone
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Como, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Como - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Como has the most likely position - 12 (11.68%), has project points - 52, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 18 (21.5%), has project points - 35, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Como is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Como won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
15.01.22	Cremonese - Como	2:0 ✺
18.12.21	Como - Reggina	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Vicenza Virtus - Como	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Como - Pisa	0:1 ✺
01.12.21	Cittadella - Como	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWLT
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
18.12.21	Crotone - Pordenone	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.12.21	Udinese - Crotone	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
10.12.21	Cremonese - Crotone	3:2 ✺
04.12.21	Crotone - SPAL	1:2 ✺
29.11.21	Ternana - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.08.21	Crotone - Como	2:2
23.04.16	Crotone - Como	2:0
09.12.15	Como - Crotone	0:1

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