Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	216 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	True Ball Thai 1, True ID
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cremonese		Como

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.48	Watch
	5.25	4.1	1.6
	5.9	4.45	1.52	Watch
	6.59	4.6	1.52
	5.41	3.41	1.71	Watch
	5.75	4	1.5
	6.44	4.61	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↓ (8.15)	4.24 ↓ (4.65)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
16.2%

Draw
22.5%

Como
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

21.2%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

20.3%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Como might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Cremonese - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Como will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Como (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cremonese (4.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Como (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 5. Luperto S. 7. Zerbin A. 2. Thorsby M. 33. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 23. Perrone M. 38. Diao A. 20. Baturina M. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 18. Collocolo M. 9. Djuric M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 21. Lottici Tessadri S. 69. Nava L. (G) 77. Okereke D. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 27. Vandeputte J. 26. Vigilati T.	6. Caqueret M. 49. Cassano R. 34. Diego Carlos 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 10. Paz N. 58. Pisati S. 8. Roberto S. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Giampaolo M.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Maleh Y. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
20', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
21', Thorsby M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
46', Thorsby M. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
49', Moreno A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, Douvikas A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Bonazzoli F. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Vardy J. 🟨,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
71', Djuric M. 🟥,
71', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
71', Grassi A. 🟥,
72', Okereke D. 🟥,
74', 1 - 3, Da Cunha L. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Moreno A. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
76', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Da Cunha L. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
83', Diao A. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
83', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
83', Baturina M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
83', Terracciano F. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
85', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Lottici Tessadri S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 4.

Cremonese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Como is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Udinese - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Cremonese - Pisa	3:0 ✺
04.05.26	Cremonese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Napoli - Cremonese	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Como - Parma	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Verona - Como	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Como - Napoli	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
21.04.26	Inter Milan - Como	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Como - Cremonese	1:1
Italian Serie B
09.03.24	Cremonese - Como	2:1
08.10.23	Como - Cremonese	1:3
06.05.22	Como - Cremonese	1:2
15.01.22	Cremonese - Como	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.04.17	Cremonese - Como	3:1
20.11.16	Como - Cremonese	2:2

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