Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 4
Angola	19:45	Z Sports 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	02:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	13:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 3
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Italy	20:45	216 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 6
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 6
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Futbol TV
Thailand	01:45	True Ball Thai 1, True ID
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+
Vietnam	01:45	VTVcab
International	18:45	Starzplay Sports app


	Cremonese		Como

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.48	Watch
	5.25	4.1	1.6
	5.9	4.45	1.52	Watch
	6.59	4.6	1.52
	5.41	3.41	1.71	Watch
	5.75	4	1.5
	6.44	4.61	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↓ (8.15)	4.24 ↓ (4.65)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
16.2%

Draw
22.5%

Como
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.1%

21.2%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

19.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Como might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cremonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Como could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Cremonese - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Como will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Como (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Cremonese (4.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Como (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 5. Luperto S. 7. Zerbin A. 2. Thorsby M. 33. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	1. Butez J. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 23. Perrone M. 38. Diao A. 20. Baturina M. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 18. Collocolo M. 9. Djuric M. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 21. Lottici Tessadri S. 69. Nava L. (G) 77. Okereke D. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 27. Vandeputte J. 26. Vigilati T.	6. Caqueret M. 49. Cassano R. 34. Diego Carlos 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 10. Paz N. 58. Pisati S. 8. Roberto S. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 22. Vigorito M. (G) 31. Vojvoda M.
Coaches
Giampaolo M.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Maleh Y. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
20', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
21', Thorsby M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Zerbin A. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
46', Thorsby M. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
49', Moreno A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, Douvikas A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Bonazzoli F. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Vardy J. 🟨,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
71', Djuric M. 🟥,
71', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
71', Grassi A. 🟥,
72', Okereke D. 🟥,
74', 1 - 3, Da Cunha L. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Moreno A. ↓, Van der Brempt I. ↑,
76', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 4, Da Cunha L. ⚽, Caqueret M. (A),
83', Diao A. ↓, Vojvoda M. ↑,
83', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
83', Baturina M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
83', Terracciano F. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
85', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Lottici Tessadri S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 4.

Cremonese has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Como is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Como is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	9	20

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.87%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Udinese - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Cremonese - Pisa	3:0 ✺
04.05.26	Cremonese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Napoli - Cremonese	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Como - Parma	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Verona - Como	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Como - Napoli	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
21.04.26	Inter Milan - Como	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Como - Cremonese	1:1
Italian Serie B
09.03.24	Cremonese - Como	2:1
08.10.23	Como - Cremonese	1:3
06.05.22	Como - Cremonese	1:2
15.01.22	Cremonese - Como	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.04.17	Cremonese - Como	3:1
20.11.16	Como - Cremonese	2:2

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