Match Info

Date: 29 November 2021, Monday


	Ternana		Crotone

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.9
	1.82	3.75	4.05	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.85
	1.88	3.95	4.1
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.86	3.82	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	3.71 ↑ (3.56)	3.99 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
51%

Draw
25.4%

Crotone
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	7.7%	11.5%

Ternana - Crotone Predictions

Users Predictions: Ternana will win (63 of 78 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 89.52%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Ternana has the most likely position - 14 (9.11%), has project points - 50, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 18 (19.12%), has project points - 36, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Ternana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crotone has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ternana is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ternana won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.11.21	Lecce - Ternana	3:3 ✺
20.11.21	Ternana - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Alessandria - Ternana	0:2 ✺
01.11.21	Ternana - Como	1:2 ✺
27.10.21	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWLL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
26.11.21	Crotone - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Perugia - Crotone	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Crotone - Monza	1:1 ✺
01.11.21	Frosinone - Crotone	2:1 ✺
28.10.21	Crotone - Benevento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.04.16	Ternana - Crotone	1:2
21.11.15	Crotone - Ternana	3:0
Coppa Italia
14.08.15	Crotone - Ternana	1:0
Italian Serie B
17.01.15	Ternana - Crotone	2:1
30.08.14	Crotone - Ternana	0:2
30.03.14	Crotone - Ternana	1:1
26.10.13	Ternana - Crotone	2:3

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