Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Como		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.65	3	5.6
	1.68	3.24	6.2
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.68	3.34	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	5.25 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
54.4%

Draw
28.2%

Pontedera
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

19.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Como that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Como - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Como is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pontedera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Como is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Piacenza - Como	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Como - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Como	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Como - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Pro Patria - Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTWL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Pontedera - Livorno	1:1 ✺
17.03.21	Pro Patria - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
13.03.21	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pontedera - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	Pontedera - Como	2:2
20.10.19	Como - Pontedera	2:0
30.12.16	Pontedera - Como	2:2
12.10.16	Como - Pontedera	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
UEFA Champions League
04.11.26	Lens - Como	✺
Italian Serie A
01.11.26	Como - Venezia	✺

Como - Pontedera