Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Pro Patria		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2	2.8	3.9
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	1.99	2.7	4
	2.08	2.91	4.5
	2.1	2.8	4
	2.09	2.98	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	2.89 ↓ (3.11)	3.91 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
44.9%

Draw
31.7%

Pontedera
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Pro Patria - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pro Patria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pro Patria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.21	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Pro Patria - Piacenza	3:0 ✺
02.03.21	Pro Sesto - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Pro Patria - Como	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.21	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pontedera - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Grosseto - Pontedera	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Pontedera - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.20	Pontedera - Pro Patria	0:1
23.10.19	Pontedera - Pro Patria	2:1
02.03.19	Pontedera - Pro Patria	1:0
04.11.18	Pro Patria - Pontedera	1:0

Pro Patria - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide