Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pontedera		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6
	2	3.2	3.4
	2	3.15	3.4
	2.05	2.85	3.6
	2.11	3.39	3.63
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.06	3.08	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.92)	3.14 ↓ (3.19)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
45.1%

Draw
29.3%

Giana Erminio
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

20.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontedera - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pontedera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.21	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pontedera - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Grosseto - Pontedera	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Pontedera - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Lecco - Pontedera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTT
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.21	Giana Erminio - Livorno	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Piacenza - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
21.02.21	Como - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
13.02.21	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.20	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	2:3
16.02.20	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	0:2
29.09.19	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	1:3
21.01.18	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	3:1
10.09.17	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	1:1
13.04.17	Pontedera - Giana Erminio	2:0
04.12.16	Giana Erminio - Pontedera	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.26	Giana Erminio - Alcione	✺

Pontedera - Giana Erminio