Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 22

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores (Guatemala City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Telecentro
El-salvador	Telecentro
Guatemala	Telecentro, TeleOnce, Tigo Sports
Honduras	Telecentro
Nicaragua	Telecentro
Panama	Telecentro
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Telecentro


	Comunicaciones		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.5
	1.38	4.5	6.6
	1.38	4.66	7.37
	1.41	4.57	7.38	Watch
	1.33	4.7	7.47	Watch
	1.38	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)	4.52 ↓ (4.52)	6.99 ↓ (7.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comunicaciones
66.6%

Draw
20.3%

Deportivo Xinabajul
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

20.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Xinabajul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Comunicaciones - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Barrios A. (G) 5. Dominguez-Ramirez M. 25. Lemus E. 9. Lom D. 20. Lopez A. 14. Morales R. 35. Palencia E. 32. Pineda W. 6. Pinto J. 13. Robles S. 2. Rubio E.	12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 10. Chavasco G. 32. Gonzalez F. 70. Hernandez Y. 18. Jucup N. 6. Marroquin E. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E.
Substitutes
21. Calderon J. (G) 7. Casas D. . Contreras 28. Corena J. 19. Cruz A. d. l. 4. Espino K. 26. L. Garcia 30. Raymundo E. 75. Rivas C.	21. Amaral U. 7. Ceballos M. 4. Cifuentes A. 26. Elington E. 29. Lopez D. 13. Mendoza O. (G) 2. Velasquez K. 11. Zuniga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Lemus E. ↓, L. Garcia ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
44', Baltazar Y. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
45', Pineda W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Hernandez Y. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Lom D. ⚽,
76', Lom D. ↓, Casas D. ↑,
80', 🟨,
83', Aquino D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Comunicaciones is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Comunicaciones won 3.

Comunicaciones is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Xinabajul is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Xinabajul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Comunicaciones is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Comunicaciones won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Comunicaciones won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.04.25	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Comunicaciones - Municipal	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Comunicaciones - Cobán Imperial	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLWW
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.04.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Municipal - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	0:1
24.11.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	1:2
01.09.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2
18.02.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	0:0
20.01.24	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Xinabajul	3:0
13.09.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	2:2
29.07.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1

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