Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán (Mixco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Claro Sports
Venezuela	Inter


	Deportivo Mixco		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.54	3.7	5.6
	1.56	3.74	6.07
	1.59	3.71	5.98	Watch
	1.53	3.72	5.66
	1.54	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.7 ↓ (3.73)	5.69 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Mixco
59.1%

Draw
24.8%

Deportivo Xinabajul
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

23.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Deportivo Xinabajul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mixco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 24. Gonzalez O. 26. Jerry 15. Marroquin R. 99. Martinez N. 22. Moreira M. 3. Moreno M. 11. Pozuelos Y. 33. Sotomayor J. 16. Urizar J.	12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 88. Alvarado C. 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 10. Chavasco G. 32. Gonzalez F. 70. Hernandez Y. 6. Marroquin E. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 2. Velasquez K.
Substitutes
2. Flores N. 61. Lemus K. 7. Lezcano A. 12. Marquez J. 5. Mendez D. 23. Padilla M. (G) 29. Quinones E. 9. Rivera E. 21. Rosas L.	4. Cifuentes A. 33. Diaz D. 26. Elington E. 3. Gomez F. 18. Jucup N. 99. Lopez K. 13. Mendoza O. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 11. Zuniga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Moreno M. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Sotomayor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 3 - 0, Moreira M. ⚽,
69', Vasquez E. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
70', Marroquin E. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
74', Marroquin R. ↓, Quinones E. ↑,
75', Moreira M. ↓, Flores N. ↑,
76', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
80', Hernandez Y. ↓, Jucup N. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mixco won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Xinabajul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mixco is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mixco won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mixco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.04.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Mixco - Municipal	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWL
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.04.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Antigua GFC	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Municipal - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
01.04.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.02.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	1:2
15.09.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	3:3
16.03.24	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
12.11.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	0:0
05.04.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	0:0
11.02.23	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:2
23.10.22	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	1:1

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