Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Atlético Municipal de Concón (Concón)


	Concón National		Provincial Ovalle

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.23	3.2
	2.11	3.26	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.08	3.2	3.27	Watch
	2	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Concón National
43.6%

Draw
28.5%

Provincial Ovalle
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (-1%)

Concón National - Provincial Ovalle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuentes C. (G) 14. Beltran M. 20. Bravo B. 16. Cubillos F. 4. Fuentes B. 22. Gattas R. 10. Ragusa F. 5. Santelices G. 9. Vargas L. 23. Vega C. 3. Velasquez M.	12. Orellana G. (G) 10. Becica A. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 22. Ceron D. 28. Cortes B. 9. Cuellar D. 11. Maluenda L. 21. Matamala C. 13. Maureira M. 5. Millalen E. 16. Solano B.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez B. 17. Araya K. 11. Bustos G. 24. Carcamo M. 21. Cerda A. 12. Pizarro P. (G) 7. Plaza J.	24. Avila M. 1. Catalan K. (G) 29. Duma C. 3. Gonzalez C. 7. Salazar D. 6. Soto J. 17. Vega B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Millalen E. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Gattas R. ⚽,
45+1', Fuentes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Cabrera Figueroa L. ↓, Salazar D. ↑,
70', Maluenda L. 🟨,
70', Vargas L. ↓, Plaza J. ↑,
85', Plaza J. 🟨,

Preview

Concón National has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ovalle has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Concón National is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concón National won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Concón National won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Concon National	6	3	0	3	7:8	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Provincial Ovalle - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concón National
Chilean Segunda Division
23.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Santiago City - Concón National	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Concón National - Brujas Salamanca	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Colina - Concón National	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Concón National - Real San Joaquín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLWL
- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
25.05.26	Provincial Ovalle - Brujas Salamanca	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Atlético Colina - Provincial Ovalle	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Provincial Ovalle - Santiago City	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Provincial Ovalle	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
04.04.26	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:1
14.09.25	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:2
27.04.25	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	0:3
29.09.24	Concón National - Provincial Ovalle	0:1
04.05.24	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	1:1

Upcoming Matches