Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.9	1.66
	4.5	4	1.68	Watch
	4.97	4.1	1.7
	4.97	4.11	1.69
	4.6	3.8	1.62
	4.75	3.98	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.29)	3.91 ↑ (3.64)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
19.6%

Draw
24.1%

Auxerre
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	6.7%	73.3%

Concarneau - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 33. Faussurier J. 28. Paro I. 12. Celestine J. 2. Georgen A. 20. Mouazan B. 17. Etuin M. (C) 6. Phliponeau A. 11. Urie A. 9. Ndombasi N. 18. Merdji Y.	16. Leon D. (G) 2. Dagba C. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 18. Diousse A. 42. Owusu E. 17. Sinayoko L. 7. Hein G. 10. Perrin G. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
14. Ba P. I. 24. Gboho A. 4. Janez G. 8. Lebeau T. 7. Matondo I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 3. Wahib A.	6. Agouzoul S. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 28. Camara O. 40. De Percin T. (G) 26. Joly P. 14. Mensah G. 45. Onaiwu A.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Pelissier C.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Concarneau is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auxerre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auxerre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Concarneau have a series of guest games.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Rodez - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Concarneau - Pau	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Amiens - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
17.11.23	Stade Briochin - Concarneau	4:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Laval - Concarneau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTLW
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
02.12.23	Auxerre - Quevilly	3:2 ✺
25.11.23	Bastia - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Le Pays du Valois - Auxerre	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Auxerre - Saint-Étienne	5:2 ✺
06.11.23	Guingamp - Auxerre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWWL

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