Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.78
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.34	3.91	1.85
	4.34	3.91	1.78
	3.9	3.7	1.75
	4.2	3.78	1.79	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↓ (4.31)	3.74 ↓ (3.76)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bastia
22.5%

Draw
25.1%

Auxerre
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

24.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25.5%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Bastia - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 4. Roncaglia A. 42. Tavares D. 99. Okou Y. 15. Bohnert F. 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 5. Drame I. 10. Alfarela M. 31. Conte F. 7. Vincent C.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. 18. Diousse A. 7. Hein G. 10. Perrin G. 45. Onaiwu A. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
23. Fabri J. (G) 3. Gueho L. 91. Lega S. 19. Loubatieres M. 18. Tomi F. 27. Yapi R.	8. Buayi-Kiala N. 28. Camara O. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 31. Keita M. 11. Maddy E. 17. Sinayoko L.
Coaches
Brouard R.	Pelissier C.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Lyon La Duchère - Bastia	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Bastia - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Bastia - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Rodez - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWTT
- AJ Auxerre
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Le Pays du Valois - Auxerre	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Auxerre - Saint-Étienne	5:2 ✺
06.11.23	Guingamp - Auxerre	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Auxerre - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Caen - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.04.22	Bastia - Auxerre	1:1
25.10.21	Auxerre - Bastia	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
28.10.14	Bastia - Auxerre	3:1
07.11.12	Bastia - Auxerre	1:0

Upcoming Matches