Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 14

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)


	Concarneau		Avranches

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.8	7.5
	1.33	4.7	7
	1.31	4.9	8.2
	1.33	4.92	10.39
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.3	4.95	8.6	Watch
	1.3	4.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	4.81 ↑ (3.7)	8.31 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
70%

Draw
19%

Avranches
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concarneau's performance.

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Concarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Concarneau - Avranches Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Avranches will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 2.

Recent matches Concarneau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avranches is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Concarneau is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
25.11.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
11.11.22	Concarneau - Red Star	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	Sedan - Concarneau	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Vannes - Concarneau	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Concarneau - Villefranche	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWLW
- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
25.11.22	Avranches - Dunkerque	3:4 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.22	AGL Drapeau Fougères - Avranches	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Orleans - Avranches	1:0 ✺
04.11.22	Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Le Puy - Avranches	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.22	Concarneau - Avranches	1:2
French Ligue 3
25.02.22	Avranches - Concarneau	1:1
20.09.21	Concarneau - Avranches	1:3
15.05.21	Concarneau - Avranches	2:1
21.08.20	Avranches - Concarneau	0:2
02.08.19	Concarneau - Avranches	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Avranches - Concarneau	0:3

Concarneau - Avranches: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide