Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)


	Concarneau		Red Star

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	1.95	3.35	3.3
	2.13	3.25	3.2
	2.15	3.24	3.68
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.12	3.24	3.25	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
43.8%

Draw
28.4%

Red Star
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	47.1%	5.9%

Concarneau - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 2.

Concarneau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Red Star is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Concarneau will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
04.11.22	Sedan - Concarneau	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Vannes - Concarneau	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Concarneau - Villefranche	4:1 ✺
12.10.22	Stade Briochin - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Concarneau - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
07.11.22	Red Star - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Valenciennes - Red Star	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
24.10.22	Orleans - Red Star	0:0 ✺
12.10.22	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Le Puy - Red Star	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.05.22	Red Star - Concarneau	5:1
06.08.21	Concarneau - Red Star	2:0
14.04.21	Concarneau - Red Star	1:1
25.09.20	Red Star - Concarneau	2:0
06.03.20	Red Star - Concarneau	1:2
27.09.19	Concarneau - Red Star	2:1
24.03.18	Concarneau - Red Star	0:1

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