Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Rene Fenouillere (Avranches)


	Avranches		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.25	3.4	1.98
	3.4	3.35	2.01
	3.8	3.47	2.02
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.65	3.24	1.98	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.01)	3.29 ↑ (3.06)	2 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
26.5%

Draw
27.8%

Dunkerque
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunkerque's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	42.1%	47.4%

Avranches - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Avranches will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avranches won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dunkerque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dunkerque will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Avranches won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
Coupe De France
19.11.22	AGL Drapeau Fougères - Avranches	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Orleans - Avranches	1:0 ✺
04.11.22	Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Le Puy - Avranches	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Avranches - Martigues	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Dunkerque - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0 ✺
07.11.22	Red Star - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Beauvais Oise - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Dunkerque - Sedan	1:3 ✺
12.10.22	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
08.11.19	Avranches - Dunkerque	2:0
17.05.19	Dunkerque - Avranches	3:0
03.08.18	Avranches - Dunkerque	1:0
12.01.18	Dunkerque - Avranches	2:2
11.08.17	Avranches - Dunkerque	1:1
10.02.17	Dunkerque - Avranches	3:0
02.09.16	Avranches - Dunkerque	3:3

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