Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau) 🌤️ ...


	Concarneau		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.81	3.1	4.2
	1.97	3.11	4.62
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.44	3.88	Watch
	1.92	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.65)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	4.01 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
48.6%

Draw
28.5%

Martigues
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

28.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concarneau's form might have worsened.

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martigues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Concarneau - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Martigues will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Concarneau is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
21.04.23	Avranches - Concarneau	0:3 ✺
14.04.23	Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Red Star - Concarneau	1:4 ✺
03.04.23	Concarneau - Sedan	0:1 ✺
28.03.23	Nancy - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLT
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
24.04.23	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
17.04.23	Orleans - Martigues	1:4 ✺
07.04.23	Martigues - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Le Puy - Martigues	2:2 ✺
27.03.23	Martigues - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.12.22	Martigues - Concarneau	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
31.10.26	Rouen FC - Concarneau	✺

Concarneau - Martigues