Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Concarneau		Paris 13 Atletico

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.10	3.60
	2.02	3.1	3.55
	2.04	3.2	4.12
	2.05	3.05	3.59	Watch
	2	3.1	3.95
	1.93	3.56	4
	2.01	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.79)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.77 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
46.3%

Draw
29.1%

Paris 13 Atletico
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Paris 13 Atletico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-4%)

Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 6. Seba D. 24. Divialle C. 5. Etcheverria B. 26. Sinquin T. 8. Picouleau M. (C) 23. Goujon L. 18. Da Silva F. 22. Macon B. 9. Janno S.	30. Temperton A. (G) 24. Bernardino N. 20. Ayessa J. 19. Kone I. 5. Poha J. 18. Dode E. 21. Guendez M. 29. Donat N. 6. Camara I. 25. Soumah-Abbad E. 11. Sidibe A.
Substitutes
10. Gbelle G. 28. Hocquet G. 25. Lafontaine G. 40. Patron P. (G) 17. Sidibe A. 7. Varvat J. 15. Yatera D.	16. Bernard S. (G) 4. Diedhiou C. 23. Kone I. 13. Marthe L. 22. Michut E. 26. Misiatu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Halby J. 🟨,
41', Seba D. 🟨,
42', Donat N. 🟨,
45+1', Sinquin T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Guendez M. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Dode E. ⚽,
68', Da Silva F. ↓, Varvat J. ↑,
68', Goujon L. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
73', Sinquin T. ↓, Gbelle G. ↑,
74', Janno S. 🟨,
77', Dode E. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Sidibe A. ⚽,
86', Sidibe A. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
89', Macon B. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Macon B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 2.

Concarneau has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paris 13 Atletico has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Concarneau is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Concarneau has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 1.2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Concarneau against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 1.7:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
26.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Concarneau - Caen	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Aubagne - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Concarneau - Thionville Lusitanos	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTT
- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
26.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Bastia	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
30.04.26	Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0
12.12.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Concarneau	0:0
16.05.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Concarneau	2:1
16.08.24	Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0
14.04.23	Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico	3:0
25.11.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Concarneau	1:1

Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide