Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.28	2.8	3.15
	2.28	2.99	3.7
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.16	3.18	3.36	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
41.4%

Draw
30.8%

Concarneau
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Red Star - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Concarneau will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Red Star will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
01.04.23	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Red Star	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Red Star - Orleans	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Red Star	1:1 ✺
10.03.23	Red Star - Le Puy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWTL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
03.04.23	Concarneau - Sedan	0:1 ✺
28.03.23	Nancy - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
24.03.23	Villefranche - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
17.03.23	Concarneau - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Châteauroux - Concarneau	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Concarneau - Red Star	0:0
13.05.22	Red Star - Concarneau	5:1
06.08.21	Concarneau - Red Star	2:0
14.04.21	Concarneau - Red Star	1:1
25.09.20	Red Star - Concarneau	2:0
06.03.20	Red Star - Concarneau	1:2
27.09.19	Concarneau - Red Star	2:1

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