Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)


	Martigues		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.46	2.93	3.38
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.28	3.13	3.13	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 (2.27)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	3.09 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
40.5%

Draw
29.8%

Le Mans
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Martigues have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Martigues - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aymes J. (G) 26. Belloumou S. 5. Calvet R. 13. Hemia A. 28. Kadir F. 6. Kembolo F. 9. Montiel R. 24. Morante L. 14. Najim I. 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui Y.	16. Kocik N. (G) 18. Boussaid M. 26. Colas E. 6. Coutadeur M. (C) 29. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 19. Vincent A. 5. Voyer H. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
20. Ait Moujane Y. 18. Missi Mezu G. 7. Orinel O. 12. Robin M.	11. Aiko M. 21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 10. Le Mehaute Y.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3).

Martigues is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Le Mans is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martigues will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Martigues won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Martigues won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 3
29.09.23	Rouen FC - Martigues	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	Épinal - Martigues	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Martigues - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	GOAL FC - Martigues	0:0 ✺
04.09.23	Martigues - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
29.09.23	Le Mans - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	GOAL FC - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Orleans - Le Mans	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Le Mans - Versailles	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
27.03.23	Martigues - Le Mans	3:1
21.10.22	Le Mans - Martigues	1:1

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