Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Ajaccio		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3	Watch
	2.5	3	2.87
	2.5	3.05	2.9
	2.56	3.11	3.07
	2.47	3.06	2.99	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.46	3.28	3.08	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)	3.08 ↓ (3.12)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
37.8%

Draw
30.5%

Pau
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Ajaccio - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ajaccio (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajaccio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 4. Barreto M. (C) 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 25. Anziani J. 27. Kante A. 9. Santelli B.	1. Kamara B. (C) 2. Koudou T. 4. Kouassi L.X. 25. Ruiz J. 3. Kalulu J. 6. Ngom O. 21. Beusnard S. 11. Chahiri M. 9. Mboup P. 17. Mille A. 10. Boutaib K.
Substitutes
31. Ayessa J. 21. Chegra I. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 23. Strata T. 11. Toure B.	7. Arconte T. 27. Bangre M. 18. Diawara K. 12. Gaspar J. 55. Jeannin M. (G) 19. Kante 23. Obiang J.
Coaches
Debes T.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Ruiz J. 🟨,
22', Santelli B. (Pen),
31', Mboup P. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Beusnard S. ⚽, Koudou T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mboup P. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Kante A. ⚽, Santelli B. (A),
62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
66', Chahiri M. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
71', Youssouf M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
71', Santelli B. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
77', Koudou T. ↓, Gaspar J. ↑,
77', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
85', Boutaib K. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
85', Kante A. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
86', Kouassi A. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Troyes - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Ajaccio - Amiens	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Martigues - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Ajaccio - Red Star	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Grenoble - Ajaccio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
11.04.25	Pau - Clermont	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Lorient - Pau	5:0 ✺
28.03.25	Pau - Annecy	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Martigues - Pau	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Pau - Troyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0
06.04.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:1
21.10.23	Ajaccio - Pau	2:0
09.04.22	Ajaccio - Pau	2:1
30.10.21	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0
01.05.21	Pau - Ajaccio	0:0
05.01.21	Ajaccio - Pau	4:1

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