Match Info

National - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Concarneau		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	1.9	3.28	4.5
	1.92	3.13	4.16	Watch
	2.07	3.18	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)	3.16 ↑ (3.12)	3.79 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
46.4%

Draw
29.2%

Quevilly
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Concarneau's performance.

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Concarneau - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Concarneau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Concarneau (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Concarneau (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 6. Seba D. 4. Jannez G. (C) 5. Etcheverria B. 8. Picouleau M. 26. Sinquin T. 23. Goujon L. 11. Soukouna Y. 21. El Khemiri Y. 20. Tutu G.	30. Bonnevie K. (G) 7. Sylva K. 26. Theresin V. 15. Gaya Y. 23. Mounsesse J. 21. Diallo N. 11. Diliwidi K. 8. Bouekou N. 6. Njike T. (C) 24. Mandengue R. 9. Anani A.
Substitutes
30. Boulais R. (G) 3. Inquel S. 22. Le Bonniec M. 7. Samoura A. 24. Sylvestre G.	17. Adekalom N. 10. Bouneb I. 2. Kanoute Y. 18. Leborgne J. 20. Moujetzky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Soukouna Y. ⚽, Tutu G. (A),
25', Viot V. 🟨,
37', Viot V. ↓, Boulais R. ↑,
39', Njike T. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Etcheverria B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Mandengue R. ⚽, Diliwidi K. (A),
64', Tutu G. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
65', Soukouna Y. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Soukouna Y. ⚽, El Khemiri Y. (A),
75', Diallo N. ↓, Leborgne J. ↑,
75', Bouekou N. ↓, Bouneb I. ↑,
81', Leborgne J. 🟨,
82', Diliwidi K. ↓, Moujetzky M. ↑,
82', Anani A. ↓, Adekalom N. ↑,
84', Njike T. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', Samoura A. 🟨,
87', Etcheverria B. ↓, Inquel S. ↑,
89', El Khemiri Y. ↓, Le Bonniec M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 3.

Concarneau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Quevilly's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Concarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Concarneau has had a series of away games.

Concarneau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Concarneau won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Concarneau won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
29.08.25	Aubagne - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Villefranche - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.25	Guingamp - Concarneau	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Concarneau - Laval	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTTL
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 3
22.08.25	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Quevilly - Caen	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Beauvais Oise - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
23.07.25	Quevilly - Le Mans	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
25.04.25	Concarneau - Quevilly	5:1
14.12.24	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:1
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Concarneau - Quevilly	0:0
16.09.23	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:3
French Ligue 3
09.03.21	Quevilly - Concarneau	0:1
18.09.20	Concarneau - Quevilly	1:1
21.02.20	Quevilly - Concarneau	0:1

Concarneau - Quevilly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide