Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Verchere (Bourg-en-Bresse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Bourg-Péronnas		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.10	1.83
	3.95	3.15	1.9
	4.69	3.34	1.87
	3.78	3.3	1.9
	4.5	3.25	1.82
	4.32	3.08	1.82
	3.9	3.2	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (4.46)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
22.1%

Draw
28.6%

Concarneau
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.3%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

26.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Bourg Péronnas - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Concarneau (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Concarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montfort L. (G) 12. Coelho G. (C) 4. Dihad A. 5. Lacour Q. 29. Dede-Lhomme N. 21. Alberto E. 8. Frayssinous T. 14. Krizoua A. 22. Gomes T. 28. Gharbi A. 15. Ehling T.	1. Viot V. (G) 27. Halby J. 6. Seba D. 24. Divialle C. 5. Etcheverria B. 22. Macon B. 8. Picouleau M. (C) 23. Goujon L. 18. Da Silva F. 10. Gbelle G. 9. Janno S.
Substitutes
11. Abraou Y. 10. El Wakil M. 18. Kanoute Y. 17. Lebas da Silva V. 7. Muepu O. 40. Popp P. (G) 6. Souici R.	2. Benabdelouahed K. 25. Lafontaine G. 11. Mercier N. 40. Patron P. (G) 17. Sidibe A. 7. Varvat J. 15. Yatera D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Picouleau M. ↓, Varvat J. ↑,
25', Goujon L. 🟨,
45+3', Ehling T. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Janno S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Ehling T. ⚽,
59', Macon B. 🟨,
70', Macon B. ↓, Mercier N. ↑,
70', Varvat J. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
70', Gharbi A. ↓, Abraou Y. ↑,
78', Gbelle G. ↓, Benabdelouahed K. ↑,
78', Da Silva F. ↓, Lafontaine G. ↑,
80', Seba D. 🟨,
81', Frayssinous T. ↓, Muepu O. ↑,
81', Ehling T. ↓, Kanoute Y. ↑,
81', Muepu O. ↓, Souici R. ↑,
85', Alberto E. 🟨,
90+6', Muepu O. 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 4th in the Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bourg-Péronnas won 1.

Bourg-Péronnas is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Concarneau is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Concarneau holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Bourg-Péronnas has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bourg-Péronnas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Concarneau	9	4	4	1	12:8	4	16
17	Bourg en Bresse	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
19.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Bastia	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
19.09.26	Concarneau - Caen	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Aubagne - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Concarneau - Thionville Lusitanos	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Concarneau - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
30.01.26	Concarneau - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1
22.08.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	0:2
18.04.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	0:0
06.12.24	Concarneau - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1
19.05.23	Concarneau - Bourg-Péronnas	3:2
16.01.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau	3:2
01.04.22	Concarneau - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1

Bourg-Péronnas - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide