Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.36	3.52	2.21
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.32	3.52	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.96)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	2.14 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
28.7%

Draw
27.6%

Saint-Étienne
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Concarneau - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 2. Georgen A. 4. Janez G. 12. Celestine J. 23. Sans R. 21. Chadli N. 6. Phliponeau A. 17. Etuin M. 20. Mouazan B. 14. Ba P. I. 18. Merdji Y.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 23. Briancon A. 19. Petrot L. 26. Fomba L. 5. Tardieu F. 6. Bouchouari B. 17. Diarra S. 10. Charbonier G. 18. Cafaro M.
Substitutes
33. Faussurier J. 7. Matondo I. 9. Ndombasi N. 28. Paro I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 26. Sinquin T. 11. Urie A.	13. Bentayg M. 14. Chambost D. 42. Green E. (G) 22. Lobry V. 29. Moueffek A. 20. Rivera M. 9. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Batlles L.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 10).

Concarneau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saint-Étienne will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
16.09.23	Quevilly - Concarneau	2:3 ✺
02.09.23	Concarneau - Annecy	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Paris FC - Concarneau	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Concarneau - Caen	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Bordeaux - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLLL
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
16.09.23	Caen - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
28.08.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Saint-Étienne - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTWL

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