Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Paris FC		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.63	3.26	2.89
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.57	3.26	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.39)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.76 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
36.8%

Draw
29.4%

Concarneau
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Paris FC - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Concarneau will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Filipovic I. (G) 22. Alakouch S. 31. Chergui S. 13. Dabila K. 8. Demoncy Y. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 18. Doucet L. 27. Gaudin J. 10. Kebbal I. 14. Mandouki C. (C) 5. Mbow M.	30. Salles E. (G) 21. Chadli N. 17. Etuin M. 24. Gboho A. 2. Georgen A. 20. Mouazan B. 28. Paro I. 6. Phliponeau A. 23. Sans R. 5. Sylla M. (C) 11. Urie A.
Substitutes
17. Camara A. 33. Colau D. 34. Diagouraga D. 29. Hamel P. 25. Kore Y. 20. Lopez J. 16. Nkambadio O. (G)	33. Faussurier J. 29. Jouan P. 7. Matondo I. 18. Merdji Y. 9. Ndombasi N. 1. Pattier M. (G) 3. Wahib A.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Le Mignan S.

Preview

Paris FC has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concarneau is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Pau - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Grenoble - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Paris FC - Caen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Paris FC - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
13.07.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Concarneau - Caen	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Bordeaux - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Concarneau - Bastia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Avranches - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Brest - Concarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
27.01.17	Paris FC - Concarneau	1:0
26.08.16	Concarneau - Paris FC	1:0

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