Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 33

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 9
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Rodez		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.55	2.05	Watch
	3.31	3.65	2.12
	3.24	3.63	2.06	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.22	3.62	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.93)	3.54 ↓ (3.95)	2.06 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rodez
28.8%

Draw
26.2%

Saint-Étienne
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.7%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.5%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint-Étienne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Étienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Rodez - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 27. Trouillet A. 6. Mendes J. 28. Saka M. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 8. Appiah D. 39. Pedro K. 6. Bernauer M. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 14. Kante A. 20. Boakye A. 28. Miladinovic I. 17. Duffus J. 9. Stassin L.
Substitutes
26. Benchamma S. 30. Crombez E. (G) 13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 22. Joly O. 9. Nagera K. 20. Ponti R. 8. Younoussa W.	19. Annan E. 51. Baallal A. 7. Cardona I. 13. Ferreira J. 35. Gadegbeku L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 18. Soumahoro A.
Coaches
Santini D.	Montanier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Balde I. ⚽, Trouillet A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miladinovic I. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Balde I. ⚽,
55', Balde I. 🟨,
58', Pedro K. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
69', Boakye A. 🟨,
72', Mendes J. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
72', Saka M. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
73', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
73', Duffus J. ↓, Annan E. ↑,
79', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
79', Trouillet A. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Cardona I. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),
90', Joly O. 🟨,
90+4', Gadegbeku L. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 1.

Rodez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Saint-Étienne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Saint-Étienne will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Corredor M. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Annan E. (Inactive) El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Eymard P. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Inactive) Le Cardinal J. (Inactive) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Davitashvili Z. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Rodez: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
24.04.26	Laval - Rodez	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rodez - Amiens	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Rodez - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWTT
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
25.04.26	Saint-Étienne - Troyes	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nancy - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Annecy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.08.25	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	4:0
French Ligue 1
24.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	2:0
French Ligue 2
10.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:1
12.08.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1
29.04.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	1:1
12.11.22	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	0:2
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	0:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches