Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Concordia Elbląg		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.71
	3.78	3.66	1.76
	4.06	3.77	1.76	Watch
	3.42	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concordia Elbląg
24.2%

Draw
24.6%

Unia Skierniewice
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.3%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Concordia Elbląg - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Papikyan A. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Makuch D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
57', 0 - 3, Sabillo K. ⚽,
71', 0 - 4, Sabillo K. (Pen),
75', 🟥,
78', 🟥,
79', 0 - 5, Sabillo K. (Pen),
81', 0 - 6, ⚽,
90', 0 - 7, Sulikowski A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concordia won 0.

Concordia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unia Skierniewice in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Unia Skierniewice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Unia Skierniewice have a series of home games.

Unia Skierniewice will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Concordia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Concordia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Concordia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Concordia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLTW
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	3:1 ✺
26.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	4:1
12.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	1:1
13.08.22	Concordia Elbląg - Unia Skierniewice	0:0
Polish Cup
22.09.21	Concordia Elbląg - Unia Skierniewice	0:2
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.20	Concordia Elbląg - Unia Skierniewice	0:1
29.09.19	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	1:3

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