Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Concordia Elbląg		ŁKS Łomża

	1	X	2
	6.75	5	1.31
	7.7	5.27	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.23 ↑ (4.11)	5.14 ↑ (4.26)	1.31 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Concordia Elbląg
12.6%

Draw
17.8%

ŁKS Łomża
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

21.7%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

21.4%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concordia Elbląg's form might have worsened.

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ŁKS Łomża's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concordia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ŁKS Łomża, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Concordia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Concordia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Łomża will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Łomża: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Sionkowski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 1 - 1, Bielka A. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Winsztal P. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Bielka A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Concordia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ŁKS Łomża is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Concordia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ŁKS Łomża is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Concordia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	15:0 ✺
11.05.24	Concordia Elbląg - Unia Skierniewice	0:7 ✺
03.05.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Concordia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Concordia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.24	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łomża	1:5 ✺
04.05.24	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	ŁKS Łomża - Concordia Elbląg	2:4

Upcoming Matches