Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Confiança		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.72
	4.4	3.15	1.76	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.78
	4.79	3.4	1.88
	4.75	3.2	1.78
	4.6	3.4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (4.33)	3.29 ↓ (3.38)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
20.2%

Draw
28.1%

América Mineiro
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

17.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Confiança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Confiança - América Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

América MG is Qualified for Serie A

Recent matches Confiança is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América MG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
19.01.21	Confiança - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Confiança	0:1 ✺
11.01.21	Confiança - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
08.01.21	CRB Maceio - Confiança	2:0 ✺
04.01.21	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
19.01.21	Brasil de Pelotas - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
15.01.21	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
12.01.21	Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
09.01.21	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
02.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.10.20	América Mineiro - Confiança	2:1

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