Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Confiança		Amazonas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.82	3.15	Watch
	2.33	3	3.36
	2.36	2.86	3.37	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.28	2.81	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)	3.25 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Confiança
39.8%

Draw
32.1%

Amazonas
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Confiança - Amazonas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 7. Danielzinho 4. Eduardo Moura 10. Fabricio 11. Joao Pedro 8. Lorran 3. Lucas Cunha 6. Matheus Juliao 13. Renilson 99. Sassa (C) 2. Valdir Junior	33. Renan (G) 6. Fabiano 28. Gabriel Cipriano 26. Gabriel Domingos 4. Iury 5. Jorge Jimenez (C) 2. Leo Coelho 16. Leo Guerra 7. Marcelo Cirino 23. Nunez P. 17. Rafael Vitor
Substitutes
17. Andrey Quintino 21. Breiner C. 5. Gabriel Zeca 22. Iago 14. Icaro 19. Maikon Aquino 16. Marcelo 12. Matheus Silva (G) 18. Paulo Henrique 20. PK 9. Wendel 15. Weriton	25. Italo Silva 12. Joao Lopes (G) 3. Marcondes 27. Mena Y. 10. Rafael Tavares 15. Raylison 9. Ronaldo 18. Schiappacasse N. 20. Victor Jesus 11. Vinicius Leite

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Joao Pedro ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
55', Sassa ↓, Maikon Aquino ↑,
56', Fabricio ↓, PK ↑,
74', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Confiança have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Amazonas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Confiança is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Confiança won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Confiança won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Confiança - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Sousa - Confiança	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
14.03.26	Sergipe - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Confiança - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWLW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Copa Norte
30.03.26	Amazonas - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Galvez - Amazonas	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
21.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
05.03.26	Nacional AM - Amazonas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.06.23	Confiança - Amazonas	2:3

Confiança - Amazonas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide