Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 8 July 2024, Monday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Caxias		Remo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.1	3	3.5	Watch
	2.13	2.98	3.66
	2.06	3.01	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.02	3.18	3.48	Watch
	2.02	2.95	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
44.5%

Draw
30%

Remo
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Caxias - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Remo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 9. Alvaro 10. Augusto Galvan 3. Dirceu (C) 8. Elyeser 5. Emerson Martins 7. Gabriel Silva 4. Lucas Cunha 2. Marcelo 6. Mateus Mendes 11. Robinho	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 4. Bruno Bispo 2. Diogo Batista 7. Giovanni Pavani 22. Jaderson 5. Joao Afonso 21. Kelvin 97. Marco Antonio 38. Rafael Castro 12. Raimar 19. Ytalo (C)
Substitutes
17. Barba 16. Cezar 20. David Lustosa 18. Emerson Souza 21. Geilson 14. Jean Pierre 13. Lucas Ryan 15. Pedro Cuiaba 12. Samuel Deuner (G) 22. Vitor Feijao 19. Yuri Ferraz	31. Adsson 98. Felipinho 30. Guty 35. Helder Santos 32. Leo Lang (G) 10. Matheus Anjos 16. Paulinho Curua 9. Ribamar 15. Ronald 3. Sheldon 23. Vidal
Coaches
Maschio R.	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Bruno Bispo ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Giovanni Pavani ⚽,
29', Marcelo Rangel 🟨,
37', Raimar 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Marcelo Rangel ↓, Leo Lang ↑,
46', Emerson Martins ↓, Barba ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
61', Alvaro (Pen),
74', Kelvin ↓, Ronald ↑,
76', 🟨,
77', Elyeser ↓, Vitor Feijao ↑,
77', Mateus Mendes ↓, David Lustosa ↑,
82', 🟨,
86', Robinho ↓, Yuri Ferraz ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', 1 - 3, Jaderson ⚽,
90+1', Ytalo ↓, Ribamar ↑,
90+14', 2 - 3, Alvaro ⚽,
90+17', Gabriel Silva ↓, Cezar ↑,
90+19', 2 - 4, Ronald ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 11).

Caxias has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Remo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Caxias have a series of guest games.

Caxias will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
30.06.24	Floresta - Caxias	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Tombense - Caxias	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Caxias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie C
29.06.24	Remo - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	ABC - Remo	3:1 ✺
16.06.24	Remo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Remo - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWLW

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